Hey folks,
I sat down with Simon Rosenberg today—and if you’ve been feeling like the ground is shifting under Trump, you’re not crazy. The numbers are brutal. The map is expanding. And for the first time in a long time, it feels like they’re the ones on defense. We broke down the polling, the Senate battlefield, the Epstein scandal metastasizing in real time, and why the GOP’s entire strategy right now feels like a panic spiral.
Here’s what we got into:
[00:01:12] We dig into Trump’s collapsing approval numbers—36% approval, 26% with independents—and why he’s fallen faster than he did before the 2018 blue wave.
[00:08:58] The Senate map suddenly looks competitive in places that would’ve been “unimaginable” a year ago—Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, Texas—and why the GOP’s mid-decade gerrymander backfired.
[00:14:57] Simon lays out why the Epstein scandal may be more destabilizing than anything else on the board—and how legitimacy, not just polling, is now at stake.
[00:21:49] We talk tariffs, the looming budget hole, and why Democrats should be running on refund checks with interest—because Trump just forced Republicans to vote for price hikes.
[00:30:08] I explain what I’m seeing on Fox, Newsmax, and the Daily Wire: they look weaker. Shakier. On the run. The swagger is gone.
The big takeaway? When we fight, we win. When we expose the harm, we expand the map. When we organize, we outperform. We have to block the harms. We have to prosecute the case. We have to talk to the neighbor with the Trump sign and make the argument. If you value conversations that cut through the noise and actually prepare us to win, help me keep building this platform.
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With urgency,
—Mike
